Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000617 0.000702 0.000792 0.000894 0.001007 0.001127 0.001265
2025-11-09 0.000483 0.000600 0.000733 0.000894 0.001082 0.001294 0.001549
2025-11-16 0.000394 0.000522 0.000673 0.000865 0.001098 0.001370 0.001710
2025-11-23 0.000329 0.000462 0.000627 0.000842 0.001114 0.001441 0.001860
2025-11-30 0.000287 0.000424 0.000600 0.000838 0.001147 0.001529 0.002029
2025-12-07 0.000254 0.000394 0.000579 0.000838 0.001182 0.001617 0.002199
2025-12-14 0.000224 0.000363 0.000554 0.000828 0.001202 0.001685 0.002343
2025-12-21 0.000196 0.000333 0.000528 0.000815 0.001215 0.001741 0.002472
2025-12-28 0.000184 0.000324 0.000529 0.000837 0.001276 0.001863 0.002689
2026-01-04 0.000170 0.000312 0.000524 0.000851 0.001324 0.001967 0.002884
2026-01-11 0.000153 0.000292 0.000506 0.000843 0.001342 0.002030 0.003024
2026-01-18 0.000136 0.000272 0.000487 0.000833 0.001354 0.002083 0.003151
2026-01-25 0.000126 0.000260 0.000480 0.000840 0.001392 0.002176 0.003337
2026-02-01 0.000115 0.000247 0.000469 0.000841 0.001421 0.002254 0.003504
2026-02-08 0.000100 0.000225 0.000441 0.000813 0.001404 0.002267 0.003578
2026-02-15 0.000087 0.000206 0.000418 0.000792 0.001395 0.002291 0.003666
2026-02-22 0.000079 0.000195 0.000407 0.000788 0.001414 0.002354 0.003813
2026-03-01 0.000072 0.000185 0.000398 0.000787 0.001437 0.002424 0.003971
2026-03-08 0.000065 0.000174 0.000385 0.000778 0.001445 0.002471 0.004096
2026-03-15 0.000058 0.000162 0.000370 0.000765 0.001447 0.002508 0.004205
2026-03-22 0.000056 0.000161 0.000374 0.000787 0.001506 0.002634 0.004451
2026-03-29 0.000052 0.000157 0.000374 0.000800 0.001550 0.002738 0.004665
2026-04-05 0.000047 0.000148 0.000363 0.000793 0.001560 0.002789 0.004800